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Event Types & Scoring

Understanding how we classify and score market-moving events.

FDA Approval

fda_approval
Impact:70-95

FDA drug or device approval. Typically triggers 20-40% upside in biotech stocks.

FDA Rejection

fda_rejection
Impact:70-90

FDA rejection or complete response letter. Often causes 15-30% selloff.

Earnings Report

earnings
Impact:60-80

Quarterly earnings announcement. Impact varies by beat/miss magnitude.

SEC 8-K Filing

sec_8k
Impact:65

Material event disclosure. Can signal M&A, executive changes, or major contracts.

SEC 10-K Filing

sec_10k
Impact:50

Annual report. Less immediate impact but important for analysis.

Product Launch

product_launch
Impact:50-65

New product or service announcement. Impact depends on market expectations.

Impact Score Components

Impact Score (0-100)

Numerical magnitude of expected market impact. Higher scores indicate larger potential price movements.

Direction

Expected price movement: positive (up), negative (down), neutral, or uncertain.

Confidence (0.0-1.0)

Statistical confidence in the direction and impact estimate. FDA events typically have 0.85+ confidence.

Rationale

Human-readable explanation of scoring logic with historical context.